Recession

In News

  • Recently, there are signs of economic weakness and inflation emerging in markets like the US raising the questions of recession. 

About Recession

  • Meaning
    • A recession is when the economy stops growing and starts shrinking.
    • It means not only shrinking GDP but also declining incomes, employment, industrial production and retail sales.
    • It happens when the value of goods and services produced in a country known as the gross domestic product declines for two consecutive quarters, or half a year.
    • A recession ends when economic growth returns.
  • Causes:
    • Rising in unemployment.
    • Rises in bankruptcies, defaults, or foreclosures.
    • Falling interest rates.
    • Lower consumer spending and consumer confidence.
    • Falling asset prices, including the cost of homes and dips in the stock market.
  • How to prevent it?
    • It includes targeted tax cuts or spending increases on safety net programs like unemployment insurance that kick in automatically to stabilise the economy when it is underperforming.
    • Approving new spending on infrastructure projects in order to stimulate the economy by adding jobs, increasing economic output and boosting productivity.
    • In the prevailing market situation, hybrid funds are best placed to protect the downside for the investor.
    • Avoid investing in property as builders and housing finance companies are luring buyers with big discounts and low loan rates.
    • It is always a good idea to diversify the portfolio with Gold and Foreign reserves to reduce the risk.
    • Create an emergency corpus while the jobs are vanishing.

Source: IE